They are ebooks in .pdf format:
- On Global warming and the Illusion of Control – Part 1 presents the basics and illusions behind the hypothesis of global warming and climate change,
- Who Turned on the Heat? is a comprehensive examination of The processes and long-term global-warming aftereffects of El Niños and La Niñas, which are the dominant weather events on Earth, and
- Climate Models Fail, as its title suggests is about the poor performance of climate models.
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Animation 1 – Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly Maps from the CMC Environment Canada (September 17, 2016 and October 27, 2016) Continue reading
This post provides updates of the values for the three primary suppliers of global land+ocean surface temperature reconstructions—GISS through September 2016 and HADCRUT4 and NCEI (formerly NCDC) through August 2016—and of the two suppliers of satellite-based lower troposphere temperature composites (RSS and UAH) through September 2016. It also includes a few model-data comparisons. Continue reading
I include a graph in my monthly global surface temperature and lower troposphere temperature anomaly updates that compares the average of the global surface land+ocean temperature anomaly products (from GISS, NCEI and UKMO) to the average of the global lower troposphere temperature anomaly products (from RSS and UAH). (See Figure 9 from the most recent August update for an example.) Because all of the suppliers use difference base years for their anomalies, I’ve recalculated the anomalies for all using the WMO-preferred reference period of 1981-2010.
My Figure 1 is similar to Figure 9 from those updates, but in it, I’ve also shown the linear trends for the global surface and lower troposphere temperature anomaly products. The linear trend, the warming rate, presented by the average surface-based products is noticeably higher than the average lower troposphere products. This, of course, according to Dr. Gavin Schmidt (head of NASA GISS), is the opposite of what the anthropogenic global warming hypothesis tells us is supposed to happen, which is that the lower troposphere is supposed to warm at a faster rate than the surface. See Screen Cap 1. Continue reading
Just in case you missed the mention of this in the text of the most recent sea surface temperature update…
In a June 2015 post, we discussed and illustrated how Weak El Niños and La Niñas Come and Go from NOAA’s Oceanic NINO Index (ONI) with Each SST Dataset Revision. NOAA has once again revised their Oceanic NINO Index. Now they’re using the base years of 1986-2015 for the NINO3.4 sea surface temperature data starting in 2001, instead of 1981-2010. See the NOAA webpage here for the basis of using shifting base years for their Oceanic NINO Index. Based on the date of that webpage it appears the recent changes took place in June 2016.
The recent changes have shifted the start and end months of some the “official” NOAA El Nino and La Niña events. But the most noticeable change is the resurrection of the 2014/15 El Niño. See Table 1 where I’ve highlighted the relative time period for the 3 most-recent versions of the Oceanic NINO Index. Continue reading
The Blob has returned (reemerged) in the eastern extratropical North Pacific. Again, has it coupled once again with the ridge of high pressure? If so, that’s not a good sign for rainfall in the western U.S.
MONTHLY SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANOMALY MAP
The following is a Global map of Reynolds OI.v2 Sea Surface Temperature (SST) anomalies for September 2016. It was downloaded from the KNMI Climate Explorer. The contour range was set to -2.5 to +2.5 deg C and the anomalies are referenced to the WMO-preferred period of 1981-2010.
September 2016 Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Anomalies Map
(Global SST Anomaly = +0.33 deg C)
MONTHLY GLOBAL OVERVIEW
Global Sea Surface Temperature anomalies made another slight downtick in September, a decrease of about -0.02 deg C. The minor downticks occurred in both the Northern and Southern Hemispheres. Last month, two ocean basins showed significant cooling: the South Atlantic (-0.13 deg C) and the Indian Ocean (-0.16 deg C). The South Pacific had a noticeable uptick (+0.06 deg C), along with the seasonal upswing in the Arctic Ocean (+0.08 deg C). Monthly sea surface temperature anomalies for the NINO3.4 continue to show weak La Niña conditions. Continue reading
Weekly NINO3.4 Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies from NOAA Are Approaching the Threshold of a Moderate La Niña. Australia’s Southern Oscillation Index from BOM is in La Niña values. And NOAA’s Multivariate ENSO Index is Still in ENSO Neutral Territory.
This post provides updates of the values for the three primary suppliers of global land+ocean surface temperature reconstructions—GISS through August 2016 and HADCRUT4 and NCEI (formerly NCDC) through July 2016—and of the two suppliers of satellite-based lower troposphere temperature composites (RSS and UAH) through August 2016. It also includes a few model-data comparisons. Continue reading
La Niña conditions are typically defined by NOAA as sea surface temperature anomalies less than or equal to -0.5 deg C for the NINO3.4 region of the east/central equatorial Pacific. The NINO3.4 sea surface temperature anomaly for the week of August 31, 2016 from NOAA’s Monthly Atmospheric and SST Indices webpage (data here) is -0.7 deg C, well into weak La Niña conditions.
Regardless of the existing (and strengthening) La Niña conditions, NOAA has canceled its La Niña Watch, which had been in effect since April. Continue reading
The Blob appears to be returning (reemerging) in the eastern extratropical North Pacific. See the map below and the data update toward the end of the post.
Has it coupled once again with the ridge of high pressure? If so, that’s not a good sign for precipitation in the western U.S. Continue reading