Three Free Ebooks on Global Warming and Climate Change

They are ebooks in .pdf format:

  • On Global warming and the Illusion of Control – Part 1 presents the basics and illusions behind the hypothesis of global warming and climate change,
  • Who Turned on the Heat? is a comprehensive examination of The processes and long-term global-warming aftereffects of El Niños and La Niñas, which are the dominant weather events on Earth, and
  • Climate Models Fail, as its title suggests is about the poor performance of climate models.

# # # Continue reading

Posted in Essays & Books | 1 Comment

Nothing Unusual about the Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies for the Hurricane Main Development Region at the 2016 Season’s Start

During the hurricane season, I’ll be adding the sea surface temperatures and anomalies of the Main Development Region of hurricane development in the North Atlantic to the Monthly Sea Surface Temperature Updates.  This post will serve as a reference.

OVERVIEW

The Main Development Region of the North Atlantic (10N-20N, 80W-20W) is where hurricanes tend to form, although they can develop outside that region.  See the National Hurricane Center Tropical Cyclone Climatology webpage, specifically the maps of their origins by 10-day periods.  And the hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

June 2016 Global Surface (Land+Ocean) and Lower Troposphere Temperature Anomaly Update

This post provides updates of the values for the three primary suppliers of global land+ocean surface temperature reconstructions—GISS and NCEI (formerly NCDC) through June 2016 and HADCRUT4 through May 2016—and of the two suppliers of satellite-based lower troposphere temperature composites (RSS and UAH) through June 2016.  It also includes a few model-data comparisons. Continue reading

Posted in Global Temperature Update, TLT and LOST Updates | 2 Comments

Say Hello to La Niña Conditions

A quick ENSO update.

Meteorological agencies like NOAA use the sea surface temperature anomalies of the NINO3.4 region (5S-5N, 170W-120W) of the equatorial Pacific to determine if the tropical Pacific is experiencing El Niño, La Niña or ENSO neutral (not El Niño, not La Niña) conditions. Other agencies use the sea surface temperature data for the NINO3 region (5S-5N, 150W-90W).  See the map on the NOAA webpage here for those locations.

Based NOAA’s weekly data for the NINO3.4 and NINO3 regions (data here), during the week centered on July 13, 2016, the sea surface temperature anomalies for both regions dropped to -0.6 deg C, which is a tick below the -0.5 deg C threshold of La Niña conditions.  See Figures 1 and 2. Continue reading

Posted in 2015-16 El Nino Series, ENSO Update, Uncategorized | 9 Comments

June 2016 Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Anomaly Update

INITIAL NOTE

This is the third month with the new format.  I’ve replaced the smoothed curve with a horizontal line that represents the Current Value.

MONTHLY SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANOMALY MAP

The following is a Global map of Reynolds OI.v2 Sea Surface Temperature (SST) anomalies for June 2016.  It was downloaded from the KNMI Climate Explorer. The contour range was set to -2.5 to +2.5 deg C and the anomalies are referenced to the WMO-preferred period of 1981-2010.

00 Map

June 2016 Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Anomalies Map

(Global SST Anomaly = +0.37 deg C) Continue reading

Posted in SST Update | 36 Comments

Quiz: Which 30-Year Warming Period Is Recent?

THREE MAPS ILLUSTRATING SIMILAR GLOBAL SURFACE TEMPERATURE CHANGES OVER DIFFERENT 30-YEAR PERIODS

The GISS map-making webpage allows users to create global maps of surface temperature anomalies for specific time periods or to create maps of the change in surface temperatures over user-defined time periods based on local linear trends.

My Figure 1 includes 3 maps from that webpage.  They are color-coded to show where and by how much surface temperatures have changed around the globe over three different 30-year periods, based on the GISS Land-Ocean Temperature Index (LOTI) data.  I’ve highlighted in red the respective global temperature changes in deg C.  They’re basically the same at 0.48 deg C and 0.49 deg C. You’ll note that I’ve also blacked-out the time periods, because I’ve asked the question Which 30-Year Warming Period Is Recent?

Figure 1Figure 1 Continue reading

Posted in Climate Model Failings, GISS, Model-Data LOST | 4 Comments

In Honor of the 4th of July, A Few Model-Data Comparisons of Contiguous U.S. Surface Air Temperatures

This post is similar in format to In Honor of Secretary of State John Kerry’s Global Warming Publicity-Founded Visit to Greenland…  As you’ll see, like Greenland, the consensus of the climate models used by the IPCC show that the models do not simulate the surface temperatures for the contiguous United States over any timeframe from 1861 to present.  Continue reading

Posted in Model-Data Comparison LSAT | 32 Comments

Global Surface Temperature Anomalies Should Be Higher In 2016 Than 2015

This post confirms what most of us suspect based on the history of global surface temperature data responses to strong El Niño events. That is, if global surface temperatures respond similarly to past strong El Niños, the 2016 values should be higher than 2015. Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 7 Comments

Close But No Cigar – NINO3.4 SST Anomalies Are a Tick (0.1 deg C) above La Niña Threshold

This is a quick ENSO update.

NOAA’s weekly sea surface temperature anomaly data for the NINO regions (based on the original Reynolds OI.v2 data) are furnished on Mondays. Today’s update for the week centered on June 22, 2016 shows the sea surface temperature anomalies of the NINO3.4 region (5S-5N, 170W-120W), which NOAA uses to define El Niño and La Niña events and their strengths, are at -0.4 deg C…a tick above the -0.5 deg C threshold of La Niña conditions.  Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 6 Comments

Hurricane Main Development Region of North Atlantic – Climate Model-Simulated Sea Surface Temperatures Are Too Cool

And Those Too-Cool Surface Temperatures Create Obvious Problems for Researchers

UPDATE:  The closing has been revised.

The sea surface temperatures of the tropical North Atlantic are one of many factors that contribute to the development and maintenance of hurricanes. In fact, 26 deg C (about 79 deg F) is the sea surface temperature that’s typically quoted as the threshold for hurricanes.

This post provides model-data comparisons of the sea surface temperatures for the portion of the North Atlantic where hurricanes tend to breed, also known as the Main Development Region.  I’ve used the coordinates of 10N-20N, 80W-20W for the Main Development Region.  Continue reading

Posted in Hurricanes, Model-Data Comparison SST | 7 Comments

Global Sea Surface Temperature Responses to the 1997/98 and 2015/16 El Niño Events – Update 1

Alternate Title:  Just in Case You Thought Sea Surface Temperatures around the Globe Responded Similarly to Strong El Niños

This is an update of the post here published back in March.  It will illustrate quite clearly that the responses of ocean surface temperatures differ noticeably with strong El Niño events—those in 1997/98 and 2015/16.  Continue reading

Posted in 2015-16 El Nino Series, ENSO Update, Uncategorized | 6 Comments