THIS IS A STICKY POST. Newer posts have been published.
I’ve been mentioning my new book in blog posts and comments for well over a year. I’ve finished Part 1, which makes up the majority of it. The best news: IT’S FREE. Click here for a copy (25 MB .pdf).
On Global Warming and the Illusion of Control – Part 1 includes introductory discussions of 3 primary topics: Continue reading
I always enjoy the headlines of climate alarmist news stories.
This one caught my eye this week. Of course the headline included the infamous weasel words: COULD BE.
At BusinessInsider.com: 4.2 million Americans could be displaced by rising sea levels this century — see if your county is at risk. The linked webpage includes a fancy-schmancy video to show in which counties those displacements might take place, with a bar graph to show which oceanfront states might be impacted most or least.
What did I see? Continue reading
Quick answer: Over the long term, the answer is yes, but for shorter terms it depends on the sea surface temperature dataset and time period. And in recent years, as most people understand, the adjustments increase global warming trends. Continue reading
I found the following comment this morning awaiting moderation. It was left today for a year-old post Richard Tol’s Excellent Summary of the Flaws in Cook et al. (2013) – The Infamous 97% Consensus Paper. I approved it and its duplicate. It’s very rare that I promote a comment to a blog post, but I felt it necessary in this case.
CAUTION – If profanity upsets you, read no further.
A REQUEST – If you chose to reply, please do not stoop to his level with profanity. I’ll snip you.
Blogger Davy Slenderass writes here: Continue reading
The post Controversy over comparing models with observations at Judith Curry’s Climate Etc. prompted this post. Judith’s post includes a Twitter exchange and a couple of model-data comparison graphs furnished by Dr. Gavin Schmidt, the director of the Goddard Institute of Space Studies. The one from Gavin for the global mid-troposphere temperature anomalies is included below as my Figure 1. The comparison includes of number datasets and the 95% model spread along with the model mean. Continue reading
NOAA’s weekly sea surface temperature anomalies for the NINO regions (based on the original Reynolds OI.v2 data) are furnished on Mondays. Today’s update for the week centered on March 30, 2016 shows the sea surface temperature anomalies of the NINO3.4 region (5S-5N, 170W-1250W), which NOAA uses to define an El Niño and its strength, is at 1.5 deg C. That’s the threshold of a strong El Niño. Also keep in mind that the uncertainties of the data prevent us from knowing which of the El Niño events (1997/98 or 2015/16) was actually strongest. We illustrated and discussed this in the post The Differences between Sea Surface Temperature Datasets Prevent Us from Knowing Which El Niño Was Strongest According NINO3.4 Region Temperature Data. Continue reading
Guest Post
The satellite-measured temperature of the lower troposphere—the layer of Earth’s atmosphere that’s closest to the surface—has risen about 0.75 deg C (more than 1.3 deg F) in less than a year in 1997 and 1998, astounding climate scientists from around the world and confirming that man-made greenhouse gases are causing catastrophic global warming.
UPDATE: I used the phrase “may or may not” with respect to February 2016 being the warmest on record in the title and text of this post. Nick Stokes on the thread of the cross post at WUWT advises that based on his analysis “98.7% of the time, Feb 2016 is higher” than January 2007. Or to put that in the terms NOAA uses for their SOTC, it is “very likely” February 2016 is warmest.
Once again, when presented with evidence that I’ve presented something incorrectly in a post, I am more than happy to acknowledge and correct it. Unfortunately, that cannot be said for many alarmists.
Additionally, that does not change the remainder of the post which notes that the uptick in global surface temperatures in response to the 2015/16 El Niño is comparable to that of the 1997/98 El Niño. That has been evident in all of the surface temperature datasets examined so far.
[End update.]
With the publications of the NASA/GISS and NOAA/NCEI global surface temperature anomaly data over the past few weeks, alarmists have been touting “record high” February 2016 global surface temperature anomalies. See the posts Alarmism Cranked Up to Absurd Level and More Alarmist Nonsense with the Release of the Redundant* NOAA Global Temperature Data for February 2016.
Yesterday, the UK Met Office published their global data for last month and so far the alarmists have been quiet.
Why? Continue reading
There are numerous duplications of effort in the US Global Change Research Program (USGCRP): from multiple U.S.-funded climate-modeling groups, to multiple producers of the same climate-related data. Why are taxpayers supporting all of those duplications of effort? Continue reading
Date: March 27, 2016
Subject: Extreme Weather and Rising Sea Levels
From: Bob Tisdale – Independent Researcher/Climate Change
To: United States Presidential Candidates
Dear Presidential Candidates:
While reading this letter, please put aside your beliefs about human-induced global warming and climate change. Continue reading
This is a reference post about a recent series of blog posts that illustrated how poorly climate models simulate Earth’s climate. I’ve also added a few other examples in this post.
Those posts include: Continue reading
