Three Free Ebooks on Global Warming and Climate Change

They are ebooks in .pdf format:

  • On Global warming and the Illusion of Control – Part 1 presents the basics and illusions behind the hypothesis of global warming and climate change,
  • Who Turned on the Heat? is a comprehensive examination of The processes and long-term global-warming aftereffects of El Niños and La Niñas, which are the dominant weather events on Earth, and
  • Climate Models Fail, as its title suggests is about the poor performance of climate models.

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Posted in Essays & Books | 3 Comments

The Politicization of Climate Science Is NOT a Recent Phenomenon

There’s lots of yacking around the blogosphere and mainstream media about President-elect Donald Trump politicizing climate science. But it’s nothing new. Climate science became a tool for pushing political agendas almost 3 decades ago.

In 1988, the United Nations, a political body, founded the global-warming-report-writing entity called the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The IPCC was created to support political agendas. And in 1995, politics corrupted climate science, when politicians changed the language of the IPCC’s second assessment report, eliminating the scientists’ statements of uncertainties.  To this day, the climate science community still cannot truly differentiate between natural and anthropogenic global warming.  Why?  The climate models used in attribution studies still cannot simulate modes of natural variability that can cause global warming over multidecadal timeframes.  Continue reading

Posted in Politics | 3 Comments

October 2016 Global Surface (Land+Ocean) and Lower Troposphere Temperature Anomaly Update

This post provides updates of the values for the three primary suppliers of global land+ocean surface temperature reconstructions—GISS through October 2016 and HADCRUT4 and NOAA NCEI (formerly NOAA NCDC) through September 2016—and of the two suppliers of satellite-based lower troposphere temperature composites (RSS and UAH) through October 2016. It also includes a few model-data comparisons. Continue reading

Posted in Global Temperature Update, TLT and LOST Updates | Leave a comment

Something to Keep an Eye On – The Large Blue Ribbon of Below-Normal Sea Surface Temperatures in the North Pacific

The weather pattern that created Siberia’s well-below-normal land surface air temperatures in October 2016 …

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October 2016 Land Surface Air Temperature Anomalies (GHCN-CAMS through KNMI Climate Explorer)

…has apparently extended eastward. Continue reading

Posted in SST Update | 16 Comments

October 2016 Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Anomaly Update

MONTHLY SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANOMALY MAP

The following is a Global map of Reynolds OI.v2 Sea Surface Temperature (SST) anomalies for October 2016.  It was downloaded from the KNMI Climate Explorer. The contour range was set to -2.5 to +2.5 deg C and the anomalies are referenced to the WMO-preferred period of 1981-2010.

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October 2016 Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Anomalies Map

(Global SST Anomaly = +0.32 deg C)

MONTHLY GLOBAL OVERVIEW

The global Sea Surface Temperature anomaly for October 2016 shows basically no change since September. A downtick in the Northern Hemisphere (-0.05 deg C) was countered by an uptick in the Southern Hemisphere (+0.03 deg C). Last month, the North Pacific was the basin to show the most cooling (-0.07 deg C), while the South Pacific (+0.05 deg C) and the Southern Ocean (+0.06 deg C) showed the most warming.  Monthly sea surface temperature anomalies for the NINO3.4 continue to show weak La Niña conditions.     Continue reading

Posted in SST Update | 1 Comment

Peer Review Is Bunk

Big Picture News, Informed Analysis

A report I wrote for the Global Warming Policy Foundation was released today. It explains that peer-reviewed research is as likely to be wrong as right. Basing public policy on findings that haven’t yet been reproduced is nuts.

Cartoons by Josha marvelous cartoon by Josh graces the cover of my report

It’s time to slam on the brakes, folks. In recent decades, governments have justified all manner of guidelines, taxes, laws, and public awareness campaigns by claiming that a certain course of action is indicated by ‘science.’ We’re repeatedly told that ‘peer-reviewed’ science has determined X, and that society should therefore do Y.

But here’s the dirty little secret: the peer review process tells us almost nothing. It’s merely a sniff test. A couple of people briefly examine a research paper. Using entirely subjective criteria they decide that it kind of makes sense, that it must be right because it confirms their…

View original post 673 more words

Posted in Uncategorized | 2 Comments

THE BLOB Has Dissipated

animation-1

Animation 1 – Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly Maps from the CMC Environment Canada (September 17, 2016 and October 27, 2016) Continue reading

Posted in The Blob | 10 Comments

September 2016 Global Surface (Land+Ocean) and Lower Troposphere Temperature Anomaly Update

This post provides updates of the values for the three primary suppliers of global land+ocean surface temperature reconstructions—GISS through September 2016 and HADCRUT4 and NCEI (formerly NCDC) through August 2016—and of the two suppliers of satellite-based lower troposphere temperature composites (RSS and UAH) through September 2016.  It also includes a few model-data comparisons. Continue reading

Posted in TLT and LOST Updates | 2 Comments

The Divergence between Surface and Lower Troposphere Global Temperature Datasets and its Implications

I include a graph in my monthly global surface temperature and lower troposphere temperature anomaly updates that compares the average of the global surface land+ocean temperature anomaly products (from GISS, NCEI and UKMO) to the average of the global lower troposphere temperature anomaly products (from RSS and UAH).  (See Figure 9 from the most recent August update for an example.) Because all of the suppliers use difference base years for their anomalies, I’ve recalculated the anomalies for all using the WMO-preferred reference period of 1981-2010.

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Figure 1

My Figure 1 is similar to Figure 9 from those updates, but in it, I’ve also shown the linear trends for the global surface and lower troposphere temperature anomaly products.  The linear trend, the warming rate, presented by the average surface-based products is noticeably higher than the average lower troposphere products.   This, of course, according to Dr. Gavin Schmidt (head of NASA GISS), is the opposite of what the anthropogenic global warming hypothesis tells us is supposed to happen, which is that the lower troposphere is supposed to warm at a faster rate than the surface. See Screen Cap 1. Continue reading

Posted in Climate Model Failings, Global Temperature Update, TLT and LOST Updates | 2 Comments

NOAA Has Resurrected the 2014/15 El Niño with Its Recent Changes to the Oceanic NINO Index

Just in case you missed the mention of this in the text of the most recent sea surface temperature update

In a June 2015 post, we discussed and illustrated how Weak El Niños and La Niñas Come and Go from NOAA’s Oceanic NINO Index (ONI) with Each SST Dataset Revision.  NOAA has once again revised their Oceanic NINO Index. Now they’re using the base years of 1986-2015 for the NINO3.4 sea surface temperature data starting in 2001, instead of 1981-2010.  See the NOAA webpage here for the basis of using shifting base years for their Oceanic NINO Index.  Based on the date of that webpage it appears the recent changes took place in June 2016.

The recent changes have shifted the start and end months of some the “official” NOAA El Nino and La Niña events.  But the most noticeable change is the resurrection of the 2014/15 El Niño. See Table 1 where I’ve highlighted the relative time period for the 3 most-recent versions of the Oceanic NINO Index. Continue reading

Posted in 2014-15 El Nino Series, ENSO Update | 5 Comments

September 2016 Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Anomaly Update

PRELIMINARY NOTE

The Blob has returned (reemerged) in the eastern extratropical North Pacific.  Again, has it coupled once again with the ridge of high pressure?  If so, that’s not a good sign for rainfall in the western U.S.

MONTHLY SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANOMALY MAP

The following is a Global map of Reynolds OI.v2 Sea Surface Temperature (SST) anomalies for September 2016.  It was downloaded from the KNMI Climate Explorer. The contour range was set to -2.5 to +2.5 deg C and the anomalies are referenced to the WMO-preferred period of 1981-2010.

00-map

September 2016 Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Anomalies Map

(Global SST Anomaly = +0.33 deg C)

MONTHLY GLOBAL OVERVIEW

Global Sea Surface Temperature anomalies made another slight downtick in September, a decrease of about -0.02 deg C. The minor downticks occurred in both the Northern and Southern Hemispheres. Last month, two ocean basins showed significant cooling: the South Atlantic (-0.13 deg C) and the Indian Ocean (-0.16 deg C). The South Pacific had a noticeable uptick (+0.06 deg C), along with the seasonal upswing in the Arctic Ocean (+0.08 deg C).  Monthly sea surface temperature anomalies for the NINO3.4 continue to show weak La Niña conditions.     Continue reading

Posted in SST Update | 3 Comments