Preview of “Who Turned on the Heat? – The Unsuspected Global Warming Culprit, El Niño Southern Oscillation”

Note:  I changed the title of the post from “Introduction to…” to “Preview of…”, since it does include a link to opening portions of the book.


I’m about a week away from publishing my book about El Niño-Southern Oscillation and its long-term aftereffects on global surface temperatures. The title as noted in earlier posts is Who Turned on the Heat? – The Unsuspected Global Warming Culprit, El Niño Southern Oscillation.

I’m thinking of adding one more chapter to the Q&A in Section 8: Could the 1997/98 El Niño have been Stronger?

What’s your guess?  Could it have been stronger?

Last, Josh is working on a cartoon for the cover. The idea he’s come up with is simple but wonderful.

Sample Parts of Who Turned on the Heat?

The Table of Contents, Introduction, and Part of Section 1 are available in pdf form here so that you can get a better idea of the topics covered and get a look at the cartoon-like illustrations from Section 1. (The messages “Error! Bookmark not defined” in the Table of Contents occurred because I removed the linked text. Don’t worry, the error messages don’t appear in the complete versions, and the links work.)

To Kindle or Not to Kindle?

Who Turned on the Heat? is a large document. It’s 110,000+ words and 550+ pages long and it contains more than 380 images. Due the massive number of color graphs, maps, etc., the pdf edition is about 22MB, with the Kindle version about 54MB. 54MB? Yup, 54MB. I’m still shaking my head in disbelief.

Who Turned on the Heat? will initially be released in pdf form at a discounted price of US$8.00.

A week or two later I had hoped to publish the Kindle version. It looks great in Kindle format. Unfortunately, with the size of the document, the Kindle version would run about $16.00. That means I’d have to bump the price of the pdf version so that it’s 20% higher than the Kindle edition price, in to the neighborhood of $19.00. I wouldn’t expect to sell many more of the pdf edition once it was published the Kindle format.

I could reduce the size of Kindle version and its price by converting the images from .png to .jpg. Unfortunately, that decreases the clarity of the illustrations significantly. Right now, as .png images they look great. See the two screen caps from the Kindle preview:

Preview 1

Preview 2  [Memo to me:  Change the note at the Bottom of Figure 7-24.]

In jpg format, their fuzzy. In other words, I don’t want to reduce the image quality to drop the price a few bucks.


Book Description

Who Turned on the Heat? The Unsuspected Global Warming Culprit, El Niño-Southern Oscillation is intended for color versions of Kindle. It is a data-supported, not a computer model-dependent, presentation of how the Earth warmed naturally over the past 30 years. This is not some theory. This is how the satellite-based sea surface temperature and ocean heat content data accounts for the recent warming of the global oceans. Keep in mind, the oceans cover 70% of this planet. The publicly available sea surface temperature records for the global oceans contradict the assumption that manmade greenhouse gases are responsible for most of the warming over the past 30 years. That’s the time period the computer models employed as marketing tools by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) say only anthropogenic greenhouse gases could have caused the warming.

To be able to see how the oceans warm naturally, you can’t look at global data. You must divide the data into a few logical subsets. The primary reasons for the warming are so obvious you’ll wonder how we’ve been led astray. To appreciate them, all that’s needed is an understanding of the natural processes that cause and result from El Niño and La Niña. The vast majority of Who Turned on the Heat? details those processes. All of the explanations are supported by data, not models, and they’re relatively easy to understand.

While the data delivers the explanation, Who Turned on the Heat? is written in straight forward, easy-to-understand terms. To be honest, it is essentially a technical discussion. Sorry, there’s little to be done about that. To soften that aspect, though, this book is well illustrated, with more than 380 annotated graphs and color-coded maps, some of them cartoon-like in an effort to relax the discussions even more. There are more than 300 links, including links to the sources of data for readers who want to confirm what’s presented. There are links to animations so readers can watch the processes of ENSO and its interactions, and so you can see the very obvious long-term impacts of the El Niño and La Niña events as they happened. There are also in-depth discussions of ENSO processes for those looking for more detail on El Niño and La Niña and their consequences.

You have to remember the Pacific Ocean covers more of the surface of our planet than land does. El Niño and his sister La Niña reside there and they occasionally make big waves. They help to reduce the temperature difference between the tropics and the poles, affording us with temperate climate over much of the land on which we dwell. Basically, if El Niño takes the reigns for a couple of decades, global temperatures warm—they have to—and that’s precisely what’s been happening since 1976, the start of the recent warming period.

We used to appreciate the impacts of El Niño and La Niña and other natural factors on weather. In fact, as many will remember, it wasn’t too long ago just about every heat wave, cold snap, wind gust, thunderclap, raindrop, snowflake, or lack thereof, was blamed on El Niño and La Niña. Recently, with the relentless marketing efforts of a few activist members of the climate science community, decades of weather research have been pushed aside and carbon dioxide has been made the nemesis of Earth and all its inhabitants.

The IPCC’s computer-modeled prognostications rode the coattails this natural warming for a couple of decades. Unfortunately for the IPCC and their researchers, the climate models they employ do not simulate how or why the global oceans warm. This too is exposed within these pages.

If you’d like to hold onto your beliefs about anthropogenic global warming, don’t buy this book. It’s not for you. In fact, 12 of the 89 chapters in this book are about the myths and failed arguments you’ve created about El Niño and his sibling La Niña—myths and misrepresentations you’ve manufactured to mislead those who want to understand why this planet has warmed.

However, if you’d like to see and understand how the data accounts for the vast majority of the natural warming of this lovely blue planet over the past 30 years, buy and read Who Turned on the Heat? The Unsuspected Global Warming Culprit, El Niño-Southern Oscillation.

About Bob Tisdale

Research interest: the long-term aftereffects of El Niño and La Nina events on global sea surface temperature and ocean heat content. Author of the ebook Who Turned on the Heat? and regular contributor at WattsUpWithThat.
This entry was posted in El Nino-La Nina Processes, Essays & Books, Natural Warming. Bookmark the permalink.

15 Responses to Preview of “Who Turned on the Heat? – The Unsuspected Global Warming Culprit, El Niño Southern Oscillation”

  1. Bob, what do you make of the cool pool of water forming off the coast of South America right now. Is that something that regularly happens when a new El Nino forms?

  2. Bob Tisdale says:

    Will: I just stopped by the NOAA NOMADS site and confirmed that the little cool pocket near the shoreline of South America looks atypical. As a whole, the Pacific has an unusual spatial pattern, especially with the cooler waters from the North Pacific extending so far south into the tropics. It’ll be fun to watch.

    I’m really interested in the North Atlantic to see where it peaks after this El Nino. I’m hoping this El Nino will be comparable to the last one. That would make it easier for the comparison of the North Atlantic responses. If it wasn’t for the North Atlantic’s spikey response to the 2009/10 El Nino, it would appear that the North Atlantic SST anomalies had reached a peak around 2005. We know North Atlantic OHC peaked then.


  3. John Costigane says:

    Thanks for the North Atlantic focus, Bob. It is also good to see other, disparate, world locations mentioned by commenters. Alarmists should think ‘out the box’ here and add their experiences. Who will sink the alarmist titanic? Hopefully, Bob, failing that, Mitt Romney in November!

  4. Pascvaks says:

    You’ve worked hard and long to craft, fashion, and sharpen a fine ‘tool’, let us all hope that more than a few ‘teachers’ and ‘professors’ pick it up and use it. God Bless!, Break a Leg!, Live Long and Prosper!

  5. Ken Gregory says:

    On page 29, is the sentence copied below missing “to”?
    “I’m now going [to] discuss parts of the process that haven’t been shown in the illustrations yet.”

  6. Bob Tisdale says:

    Thanks, Ken. I couldn’t see that. Been over it more than a couple of times.

  7. Bob Tisdale says:

    Pascvaks: Thanks, I’ve got hopes for it too.

  8. ralph Selman says:

    When can I buy it in pdf form?

  9. Bob Tisdale says:

    ralph Selman: Early next week. I have to prepare a post with the animation links, and write the post for the book.

    Unfortunately, this is a Formula 1 weekend, and that takes priority.

  10. Frank says:

    Re file size of Images,I have saved the Argo graph into Paintshop Pro and then saved the file as a PNG, JPG (20% qaulity reduction) and GIF (256 colors) and the resulting file sizes were respectively, 280KB, 97KB and 71KB.

    On the screen the GIF format looks marginally better than the other two, so maybe you could try that for the graphs and illustations

  11. Bob Tisdale says:

    Thanks, Frank, I’ll give gif a try. I’d like to publish a Kindle edition in an attempt to reach a larger audience, but in jpg the graphs looked terrible and the price with png is waaaay tooo high.

  12. ralph Selman says:

    OK. Thanks. I’m taking a break from football.

  13. Pascvaks says:

    Just noticed the ad for your new book above in your banner/masthead, ??Everything you “‘EVERY'” wanted to know about El Nino and La Nina… Almost everything??; type-o?? or am I still half asleep??;-)

  14. Bob Tisdale says:

    Fixed. Thanks, Pascvaks.

    BTW, check your email, the address you have linked to your WordPress persona.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: Logo

You are commenting using your account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s