PRELIMINARY July 2013 Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Update

STANDARD OPENING PARAGRAPH

The July 2013 Reynolds OI.v2 Sea Surface Temperature (SST) data through the NOAA NOMADS website won’t be official until Monday, August 5,, 2013. Refer to the schedule on the NOAA Optimum Interpolation Sea Surface Temperature Analysis Frequently Asked Questions webpage. The following are the preliminary Global and NINO3.4 SST anomalies for July 2013 that the NOMADS website prepares based on incomplete data for the month. I’ve also included the weekly data through the week centered on July 24, 2013, but I’ve shortened the span of the weekly data. As noted in the recent mid-April update, I’ve started using January 2001 so that the variations can be seen AND so that you can see how “flat” global sea surface temperature anomalies have been since then.

The base years for anomalies are 1971-2000, which are the standard base years from the NOAA NOMADS website for this dataset.

PRELIMINARY MONTHLY DATA

The preliminary global sea surface temperature anomalies rebounded almost 0.06 deg C (+0. 058 deg C) in the last month. The global sea surface temperature anomalies are presently at about +0.24 deg C. That of course will change a little when the full month of data is reported next week.

Monthly Global

Monthly Global SST Anomalies

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The sea surface temperature anomalies of the NINO3.4 region in the eastern equatorial Pacific (5S-5N, 170W-120W) are a commonly used index for the strength, frequency, and duration of El Niño and La Niña events. Based on the preliminary data, July 2013 NINO3.4 sea surface temperature anomalies are still well below zero (about -0.06 deg C), but nowhere close to being in La Niña conditions. Also refer to the weekly data that follows because I’ve also included NINO1+2 data.

Monthly NINO3.4

Monthly NINO3.4 SST Anomalies

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WEEKLY DATA

Weekly NINO3.4 region (5S-5N, 170W-120W) sea surface temperature anomalies for the week centered on July 24, 2013 are still below zero. The weekly NINO3.4 sea surface temperature anomalies were approximately -0.14 deg C.

Weekly NINO3.4

Weekly NINO3.4 SST Anomalies

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Over in the eastern tropical Pacific, sea surface temperature anomalies for the NINO1+2 region (10S-0, 90W-80W) are still quite cool (-1.2 deg C), but they’ve rebounded quite a bit over the past few weeks.

Weekly NINO1+2

Weekly NINO1+2 SST Anomalies

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Weekly Global SST Anomalies are continuing to show volatility: a reasonably large drop and rebound. The rebound has now continued upwards. They are presently about +0.3 deg C.

Weekly Global

Weekly Global SST Anomalies

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The upward spike does not exist in the Southern Hemisphere.

Weekly So Hem

Weekly Southern Hemisphere SST Anomalies

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Logically, that means it exists in the Northern Hemisphere. In part, it’s tied to the seasonal cycle that can be seen in the anomaly data. But there is still additional warming recently in the Northern Hemisphere data that’s beyond the seasonal variations. Weekly data, however, is very volatile, and captures weather events. If this persists, we’ll take a look for possible sources—like a switch in sea level pressure.

Weekly No Hem

Weekly Northern Hemisphere SST Anomalies

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INTERESTED IN LEARNING MORE ABOUT THE EL NIÑO AND LA NIÑA AND THEIR LONG-TERM EFFECTS ON GLOBAL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES?

Why should you be interested? Sea surface temperature records indicate El Niño and La Niña events are responsible for the warming of global sea surface temperature anomalies over the past 30 years, not manmade greenhouse gases. I’ve searched sea surface temperature records for more than 4 years and ocean heat content records for more than 3 years, and I can find no evidence of an anthropogenic greenhouse gas signal in either dataset. That is, the warming of the global oceans has been caused by Mother Nature, not anthropogenic greenhouse gases.

I’ve recently published my e-book (pdf) about the phenomena called El Niño and La Niña. It’s titled Who Turned on the Heat? with the subtitle The Unsuspected Global Warming Culprit, El Niño Southern Oscillation. It is intended for persons (with or without technical backgrounds) interested in learning about El Niño and La Niña events and in understanding the natural causes of the warming of our global oceans for the past 30 years. Because land surface air temperatures simply exaggerate the natural warming of the global oceans over annual and multidecadal time periods, the vast majority of the warming taking place on land is natural as well. The book is the product of years of research of the satellite-era sea surface temperature data that’s available to the public via the internet. It presents how the data accounts for its warming—and there are no indications the warming was caused by manmade greenhouse gases. None at all.

Who Turned on the Heat? was introduced in the blog post Everything You Ever Wanted to Know about El Niño and La Niña… …Well Just about Everything. The Free Preview includes the Table of Contents; the Introduction; the beginning of Section 1, with the cartoon-like illustrations; the discussion About the Cover; and the Closing. The book was updated recently to correct a few typos.

Please buy a copy. (Credit/Debit Card through PayPal. You do NOT have to open a PayPal account. Simply scroll down to the “Don’t Have a PayPal Account” purchase option. It’s only US$8.00.

SOURCE

The Sea Surface Temperature anomaly data used in this post is available through the NOAA NOMADS website:

http://nomad1.ncep.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/pdisp_sst.sh

or:

http://nomad3.ncep.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/pdisp_sst.sh?lite=

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About Bob Tisdale

Research interest: the long-term aftereffects of El Niño and La Nina events on global sea surface temperature and ocean heat content. Author of the ebook Who Turned on the Heat? and regular contributor at WattsUpWithThat.
This entry was posted in SST Update. Bookmark the permalink.

8 Responses to PRELIMINARY July 2013 Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Update

  1. Bob Mount says:

    Bob, Apologies for coming to you with this problem, but I have recently had difficulty getting onto the WUWT site, or when I do, accessing the full content of any of the articles. I am often met with this comment:
    “No data received
    Unable to load the webpage because the server sent no data.
    Error code: ERR_EMPTY_RESPONSE”
    I have never met this problem before and it only applies to WUWT. I am concerned that someone is maliciously interfering with Anthony’s site. Is there a problem, or is it me!
    Many thanks for all your good work,
    Bob

  2. Bob Tisdale says:

    Bob, I’m not having a problem accessing WUWT. And, unfortunately, I’m not well versed in those sorts of things, so I can’t help. Sorry.

  3. Anthony Watts says:

    No other reports. Likely something with your computer and/or browser. Try clearing cache, making sure you have free HD space, etc./

  4. Ernest Bush says:

    I can access that site right now on my mini iPad with no problem. Last week I accessed it on a 3G cellphone link from a Grand Canyon National Park tent site along with other no-nonsense global climate sites. I could not access your link, however.

  5. Pingback: warming or cooling, it’s just weather … | pindanpost

  6. Hi Bob – I have finnaly put together a simplified version of the sequencing of events that produces the elevated Atlantic SSTs. It is worth a look since it is not mearly the net results, but shows the process and precursors that produce this effect.
    Conor

  7. Should have said – go to utube and type in ‘The Nile Climate Engine’.
    c

  8. Bob Tisdale says:

    Thanks, Conor. A link for my visitors would have been nice:

    Regards

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