Thanks, Paul. I always enjoy things like this. Now we see papers predicting permanent La Nina domination…with periodic super El Ninos. But the models in the CMIP5 archive still can’t simulate basic processes in the tropical Pacific, like Bjerknes feedback, so all predictions are meaningless.
By Paul Homewood
Back in 1997, the BBC reported:
Scientists are warning that global warming could make the El Nino a permanent feature of the world’s weather system.
El Nino events normally occur roughly every 5 years, and last for between 12 and 18 months. However unpublished scientific research now suggests that the complex weather systems could occur every 3 years, making them a dominant weather pattern and in effect, almost permanent.
This year’s El Nino has been one of the strongest on record and has led to:
- Droughts in Australia and Papua New Guinea.
- Delayed monsoon in South East Asia leaving forest fires to rage out of control, blanketing the region with choking smog.
- Storms on the Pacific coast of South and Central America from Chile to Mexico.
- Drought in Southern Africa.
- Threat of floods in Peru and California
In the last decade there have been 5…
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