Russian Official is Optimistic about Global Warming

Yesterday, November 24th, the Russian News Agency TASS published the article Russia to take advantage of global warming — chief of Russian weather service.

Isn’t that refreshing?  Optimism about a warming world.

The article begins:

MOSCOW, November 24. /TASS/ The phenomenon of global warming will have its effect on Russia 2.5 times sooner than in the rest of the planet, Alexander Frolov, Chief of the Russian Federal Service for Hydrometeorology and Environmental Monitoring (Rosgydromet) told a TASS-hosted briefing on Monday.

“Global warming might give certain advantages to Russia — a longer navigation period and a shorter heat supply season, which are very important for Russia because it is the coldest country. Areas where grain and bean crops might be harvested will be considerably enlarged, mostly in western Siberia and in the Urals, and a life comfort zone will be broadened, moving it up to the north,” Frolov told the briefing.

Frolov was also realistic, inasmuch as he discussed the downsides as well:

“The negative effects of global warming are a growing threat of forest and peat bog fires, and possible breaking of a traditional way of life of the indigenous population of the North. Russia must be prepared to survive under conditions both of water shortages and floods,” he said.

But water shortages and floods have existed in the past.  And computer-model-based outlooks are debatable (simply speculation at this point) because climate models do not properly simulate precipitation and they cannot simulate the coupled ocean-atmosphere processes that impact precipitation around the globe. Additionally, climate models do not properly simulate polar amplification, which has a strong impact on Russia surface temperatures. Here’s a link to the Climate Model Failings category at my blog, for those who wish to confirm my statements in this paragraph.

The closing paragraph sounds odd, and I don’t have the time today to verify it.

Climate on earth has become warmer by 0.7 degrees on the average over a period of ten years, while climate in Russia has warmed by 0.43 degrees in the same period, the expert said.

Is there a typo in there?  Here’s a link to the Russia surface temperature data from BEST.

About Bob Tisdale

Research interest: the long-term aftereffects of El Niño and La Nina events on global sea surface temperature and ocean heat content. Author of the ebook Who Turned on the Heat? and regular contributor at WattsUpWithThat.
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5 Responses to Russian Official is Optimistic about Global Warming

  1. wernerkohl says:

    If this happened to Germany we would hear that the end is near.

  2. Thanks, Bob. The closing paragraph is not supported by any temperature data set that I know of.
    And yes, at least for the coldest countries global warming would be good. It is a real pity it stopped after the ’98 El Niño.

  3. KuhnKat says:

    This is almost as delusional as the Gorebull warmers and their BS. There has been no warming for 15-20 years ands THEIR scientists are warning of a little ice age… Probably just propaganda. I would point to Pootie’s activities in Crimea and the Ukraine as probably driven by real science and the knowledge that cooling will hit their food supply HARD and take away their northern ports.

  4. Russia’s interest in Crimea and the Russian speaking population in Ukraine are natural and to be expected (they definitely seem to be more justified than the USA invasion of Iraq or NATO bombing and invasion of Serbian territory in 1999). It has nothing to do with global warming. The Russians can see the gradual thawing of Arctic ice, the slightly warmer climate, and the improved ability to grow crops. They consider this a positive development.

  5. kuhnkat says:

    Fernando, you make the same mistake as so many others comparing the US to other countries. The US does NOT take control of countries permanently whereas Pooties does. In modern times our rulers do not even finish what they start.

    As far as the improvements in the weather in Russia, it has happened before and will probably happen again when the current cooling regime is over.

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