Monthly Archives: November 2014

Axel Timmermann and Kevin Trenberth Highlight the Importance of Natural Variability in Global Warming…

…and their recent interviews gave me fodder for a blog post that should be educational for many people. There were numerous oddities in a recent interview with Axel Timmerman and Kevin Trenberth.  Those are the primary topics of this post.  … Continue reading

Posted in Alarmism, PDO, SST Update, The Blob, The Pause | 25 Comments

October 2014 Global Surface (Land+Ocean) and Lower Troposphere Temperature Anomaly & Model-Data Difference Update

I’ve added a graph of the difference between the observed global temperature anomalies (GISS LOTI) and the climate model simulations of that metric by the models stored in the CMIP5 archive (used by the IPCC for their 5th Assessment Report).  … Continue reading

Posted in GISS, HADCRUT4, LOST Update, Lower Troposphere Temperature, Model-Data LOST, NCDC, TLT and LOST Updates, TLT Update | 10 Comments

We Need a Name for the Imaginary Planet Simulated by Climate Models for the IPCC

I recently ran across an article by Chelsea Harvey for BusinessInsider. It was the title that grabbed my attention:  This Map Shows How Climate Change Will Screw The Whole World.  Not just parts of the world, the “Whole World”.  Wow.  … Continue reading

Posted in Alarmism | 14 Comments

October 2014 Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Anomaly Update

INITIAL NOTES Note 1: The NOAA NOMADS servers are still off line.  NOAA replied to my email inquiry and advised that the NOMADS website will be down for an extended time period and there were no estimates for when they … Continue reading

Posted in SST Update | 6 Comments

Seven Years Ago, An IPCC Lead Author Exposed Critical Weaknesses of the IPCC Foretelling Tools

NCAR’s Dr. Kevin Trenberth was a lead author of the IPCC’s 2nd, 3rd and 4th Assessment Reports.  Near to the publication of the IPCC’s 4th Assessment Report 7 years ago, Dr. Trenberth penned a blog post at Nature.com Predictions of … Continue reading

Posted in Climate Model Failings | 11 Comments

The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 20 – November Update – The Little El Niño That Shoulda’-Woulda’-Coulda’

And maybe it will.  Weekly sea surface temperature anomalies last week for the NINO3.4 region were at their highest level for the year. Then again, NINO1+2 region temperature anomalies have dropped to the 0.5 deg C threshold of an El … Continue reading

Posted in 2014-15 El Nino Series, ENSO Update | 11 Comments

On the Elusive Absolute Global Mean Surface Temperature – A Model-Data Comparison

With the publication of the IPCC 5th Synthesis Report, I thought there might be some interest in a presentation of how well (actually poorly) climate models simulate global mean surface temperatures in absolute terms.  That is, most climate model outputs … Continue reading

Posted in Climate Model Failings, Model-Data LOST | 78 Comments

Yippee – A Two-Month Vacation…

…from work, not blogging.

Posted in About The Blog | 5 Comments

ClimateProgress’s Joe Romm Translates the IPCC’s 2014 Synthesis Report

It’s been months since I’ve wandered over to the ClimateProgress wing of the political blog ThinkProgress.  The title of the November 4, 2014 blog post by alarmist Joe Romm is truly remarkable.   Please sit.  Put down your coffee, unless you … Continue reading

Posted in Alarmism, IPCC | 2 Comments

Enthusiasm about a Double-Dip El Niño (?) And Global Warming

In this post we can learn from someone’s mistakes. The author of the post at Slate clearly misunderstands many aspects of El Niño and their relationship with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation…so many that I’ve had to focus on just a few.  To confuse matters more, mixed … Continue reading

Posted in 2014-15 El Nino Series, El Nino-La Nina Processes | 14 Comments