Climate Change – New and Failed The-End-Is-Nigh Predictions

Michael Bastasch at TheDailyCaller recently penned an amusing article titled the 25 Years of Predicting The Global Warming ‘Tipping Point’.  It’s an enjoyable read, beginning:

For decades now, those concerned about global warming have been predicting the so-called “tipping point” — the point beyond which it’ll be too late to stave off catastrophic global warming.

Bastasch then lists and discusses “some of the ‘greatest’ predictions made by scientists, activists and politicians — most of which we’ve now passed,” including:

  • 2015 is the ‘last effective opportunity’ to stop catastrophic warming
  • President Barack Obama is the last chance to stop global warming
  • The U.N.’s top climate scientist said in 2007 we only had four years to save the world
  • Environmentalists warned in 2002 the world had a decade to go green

The entire article should make you smile. You can find it here.

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About Bob Tisdale

Research interest: the long-term aftereffects of El Niño and La Nina events on global sea surface temperature and ocean heat content. Author of the ebook Who Turned on the Heat? and regular contributor at WattsUpWithThat.
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9 Responses to Climate Change – New and Failed The-End-Is-Nigh Predictions

  1. Pingback: Climate Change – New and Failed The-End-Is-Nigh Predictions - Perot Report

  2. Francisco says:

    So now what? We get our taxes back? I am of the thought of prosecuting the head warmongers. They seem to have enough money to be able to give, at least in part, back what was taken because of their preaching.

  3. markus says:

    They are not warning about a specific tipping point, just calling on people to address the issue in a political timeframe.

    The actual location of tipping points are unknown. Arguably we’ve already crossed a couple. But in any case it’s simply more likely we’ll hit tipping points if the earth keeps warming and goes out of the range it’s been in for the last million years. All bets are then off, a very dangerous situation indeed with no guarantee the earth’s biosphere will adapt in time or in nice ways.

  4. Thanks, Bob.
    When I saw “An Inconvenient Truth” in 2006, I was sure we had already lost the Earth. Poor planet, poor us.
    Since then it has been a way up, the lies and misdirections have been peeling off.
    This is the scientific process at work.

  5. Markus, you forgot to add, “in my opinion”

  6. Ben Palmer says:

    @markus: “with no guarantee the earth’s biosphere will adapt in time or in nice ways.” What interest does the biosphere have to adapt? Adapt to what?
    “we’ll hit tipping points if the earth keeps warming and goes out of the range it’s been in for the last million years” That’s a simple “what if” argument, not a statement of fact or factual prediction. What if the earth starts cooling and will rumble over many tipping points in the opposite direction?

  7. Pham Newan says:

    @Markus There are many studies, at 3 that I read today, that say that there is no arctic tipping point. National Snow and Sea Ice Center: http://nsidc.org/icelights/2011/03/09/arctic-sea-ice-and-the-tipping-point/
    I can’t get to Funder’s original publication at the moment but here is a BBC story on it: http://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-14408930
    Recently from scripps: https://scripps.ucsd.edu/news/research-highlight-arctic-sea-ice-loss-likely-be-reversible
    And here is an interesting one from NASA on aerosols. http://www.nasa.gov/topics/earth/features/warming_aerosols.html
    And a Duke University: https://nicholas.duke.edu/news/global-warming-more-moderate-worst-case-models

    Now when you read about it in Leftists media outlets like the following you get the exact opposite story: http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2015/05/11/3656442/arctic-death-spiral-deniers-confused/
    http://www.enn.com/climate/article/44896
    I want you to note the months on the plot shown in the thinkprogress page. Now go here, the source of the data, and select the same years, and view all of the months in question: http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/charctic-interactive-sea-ice-graph/
    Can you see that the minimum extent during the summer months is at least twice difference than the maximum extents during the winter months that thinkprogress is deliberately only showing?
    Don’t you think that this is the same kind of data manipulation that they would accuse “deniers” of? I actually think it is more dubious than the supposed cherry picking of 1988 as a start date for a linear regression of land+sea surface temperatures to demonstrate a pause/hiatus/whatever you are comfortable describing the current observed temperature phenomena. Let me give you another, here is one of the “alarmists” favorite bloggers, Cook, of the manufactured 97% consensus fame. http://www.skepticalscience.com/graphics.php?g=47
    This is what Cook thinks is a humorous rebuttal. Unfortunately, he is being incredibly hypocritical and hopes you won’t notice. There are two problems with this portrayal of the temperature data. The first is that he cherry picked 1970’s. Here, I have selected 1940 as my start date. http://www.ysbl.york.ac.uk/~cowtan/applets/trend/trend.html
    Do you see why Cook selects 1970 as his start date? It’s because there was a 30 year pause just prior to 1970, so he can get a much steeper slope by arbitrarily selecting 1970 which was the end of the last pause. The second thing he has done, is intentionally use a linear regression, when what we are interested in is acceleration/deceleration, do you know why we are interested in the second time rate of change of temperature? It’s because we have been told, by Mann, Hansen, Orestes, Cook, and many others that we should be observing and accelerated trend if the CO2 concentration is going up, largely because of positive water vapor feedbacks. Here this gentleman has been kind enough to produce a semblance of a graphical representation of the second time rate of change.
    http://notrickszone.com/2015/05/19/there-are-people-who-believe-they-see-unabated-global-warming-in-the-1100c-range-warming-has-ground-to-a-halt/#sthash.K9sbDibk.Y6Zd9hTG.dpbs

    The cryosat 2 results at one point showed that the arctic sea ice VOLUME had increased by 50% from 2012 to 2013, I believe. Now you can’t get a firm grasp at all what cryosat 2 is saying because you can find comepletely contradictory articles. That’s an indication to me that this is about geo politics. Specifically that global banks have been LUSTING, now for over a decade, to get their new derivatives market.

    So I hope we can at some point agree that the tipping point alarmists MUST be dealt with, if we are to come to any REALISTIC policy decisions.

  8. Pham Newan says:

    Here’s the NAture article that the Duke University page is addressing: http://www.nature.com/srep/2015/150421/srep09957/full/srep09957.html

  9. Bob Tisdale says:

    Pham Newan, do you by chance know where sea ice volume data are available in daily or monthly formats?

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