Author Archives: Bob Tisdale

About Bob Tisdale

Research interest: the long-term aftereffects of El Niño and La Nina events on global sea surface temperature and ocean heat content. Author of the ebook Who Turned on the Heat? and regular contributor at WattsUpWithThat.

Nothing Unusual about the Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies for the Hurricane Main Development Region at the 2016 Season’s Start

During the hurricane season, I’ll be adding the sea surface temperatures and anomalies of the Main Development Region of hurricane development in the North Atlantic to the Monthly Sea Surface Temperature Updates.  This post will serve as a reference. OVERVIEW … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

June 2016 Global Surface (Land+Ocean) and Lower Troposphere Temperature Anomaly Update

This post provides updates of the values for the three primary suppliers of global land+ocean surface temperature reconstructions—GISS and NCEI (formerly NCDC) through June 2016 and HADCRUT4 through May 2016—and of the two suppliers of satellite-based lower troposphere temperature composites … Continue reading

Posted in Global Temperature Update, TLT and LOST Updates | 2 Comments

Say Hello to La Niña Conditions

A quick ENSO update. Meteorological agencies like NOAA use the sea surface temperature anomalies of the NINO3.4 region (5S-5N, 170W-120W) of the equatorial Pacific to determine if the tropical Pacific is experiencing El Niño, La Niña or ENSO neutral (not … Continue reading

Posted in 2015-16 El Nino Series, ENSO Update, Uncategorized | 9 Comments

June 2016 Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Anomaly Update

INITIAL NOTE This is the third month with the new format.  I’ve replaced the smoothed curve with a horizontal line that represents the Current Value. MONTHLY SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANOMALY MAP The following is a Global map of Reynolds OI.v2 … Continue reading

Posted in SST Update | 36 Comments

Quiz: Which 30-Year Warming Period Is Recent?

THREE MAPS ILLUSTRATING SIMILAR GLOBAL SURFACE TEMPERATURE CHANGES OVER DIFFERENT 30-YEAR PERIODS The GISS map-making webpage allows users to create global maps of surface temperature anomalies for specific time periods or to create maps of the change in surface temperatures … Continue reading

Posted in Climate Model Failings, GISS, Model-Data LOST | 4 Comments

In Honor of the 4th of July, A Few Model-Data Comparisons of Contiguous U.S. Surface Air Temperatures

This post is similar in format to In Honor of Secretary of State John Kerry’s Global Warming Publicity-Founded Visit to Greenland…  As you’ll see, like Greenland, the consensus of the climate models used by the IPCC show that the models do … Continue reading

Posted in Model-Data Comparison LSAT | 32 Comments

Global Surface Temperature Anomalies Should Be Higher In 2016 Than 2015

This post confirms what most of us suspect based on the history of global surface temperature data responses to strong El Niño events. That is, if global surface temperatures respond similarly to past strong El Niños, the 2016 values should … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 7 Comments

Close But No Cigar – NINO3.4 SST Anomalies Are a Tick (0.1 deg C) above La Niña Threshold

This is a quick ENSO update. NOAA’s weekly sea surface temperature anomaly data for the NINO regions (based on the original Reynolds OI.v2 data) are furnished on Mondays. Today’s update for the week centered on June 22, 2016 shows the … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 6 Comments

Hurricane Main Development Region of North Atlantic – Climate Model-Simulated Sea Surface Temperatures Are Too Cool

And Those Too-Cool Surface Temperatures Create Obvious Problems for Researchers UPDATE:  The closing has been revised. The sea surface temperatures of the tropical North Atlantic are one of many factors that contribute to the development and maintenance of hurricanes. In … Continue reading

Posted in Hurricanes, Model-Data Comparison SST | 7 Comments

Global Sea Surface Temperature Responses to the 1997/98 and 2015/16 El Niño Events – Update 1

Alternate Title:  Just in Case You Thought Sea Surface Temperatures around the Globe Responded Similarly to Strong El Niños This is an update of the post here published back in March.  It will illustrate quite clearly that the responses of … Continue reading

Posted in 2015-16 El Nino Series, ENSO Update, Uncategorized | 6 Comments