Category Archives: 2014-15 El Nino Series

The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 19 – Is an El Niño Already Taking Place?

The recent post at WattsUpWithThat Yes Virginia (and everyone else) there is an El Niño coming was written by Joe Bastardi of WeatherBell Analytics.  As a result of that article, Joe and I exchanged a good number of emails.  Once … Continue reading

Posted in 2014-15 El Nino Series, ENSO Update | 17 Comments

The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 18 – October 2014 Update – One Last Chance?

This year started off with a subsurface weather event below the surface of the tropical Pacific that made researchers and global warming alarmists hope for a super-duper El Niño in 2014.  Sadly, things didn’t work out for them.  The trade … Continue reading

Posted in 2014-15 El Nino Series, El Nino-La Nina Processes, ENSO Update | 12 Comments

The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 17 – Is There Still Hope for a Moderate El Niño?

I’ll provide the September update in a week or so, but I found the following interesting. According to the animation of subsurface temperature anomalies along the equatorial Pacific, which is available from the NOAA Climate Prediction Center Equatorial Pacific Temperature … Continue reading

Posted in 2014-15 El Nino Series, El Nino-La Nina Processes, ENSO Update | 19 Comments

Quicky ENSO Update – September 15, 2014

Weekly NINO3.4 sea surface temperature anomalies (week of September 10) are back above the +0.5 deg C threshold of an El Niño. NINO1+2 sea surface temperature anomalies have dropped recently, but they should rise again as the new downwelling (warm) … Continue reading

Posted in 2014-15 El Nino Series, ENSO Update | 4 Comments

The 2014 15 El Niño – Part 16 – September 2014 Update – Still Seeing Mixed Signals

(Oops.  Fixed a typo in the title.  This is Part 16.) This post provides an update on the progress of the evolution of the 2014/15 El Niño (assuming there will be one) with data through the end of August 2014. … Continue reading

Posted in 2014-15 El Nino Series, El Nino-La Nina Processes, ENSO Update | 17 Comments

The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 15 – August 2014 Update – An El Niño Mulligan?

Yes, I’m using the term Mulligan as in a replayed golf shot. Ocean-atmosphere processes have consumed most of the warm water in the eastern equatorial Pacific from the downwelling (warm) Kelvin wave that had crossed the Pacific earlier this year. … Continue reading

Posted in 2014-15 El Nino Series, El Nino-La Nina Processes, ENSO Update | 17 Comments

NINO3.4 Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies Are Approaching Zero

This is just a quick update for those keeping a close eye on the equatorial Pacific.

Posted in 2014-15 El Nino Series, SST Update | 8 Comments

The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 14 – Warm Water Recirculated?

There may still be a chance for an El Niño during the 2014/15 ENSO season. A new “pocket” of warm subsurface water has formed in the western equatorial Pacific. See the note in the page from the most-recent NOAA Weekly … Continue reading

Posted in 2014-15 El Nino Series, El Nino-La Nina Processes, ENSO Update | 46 Comments

The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 13 – More Mixed Signals

A few interesting things have happened since the July Update last week. On the ocean side, weekly sea surface temperatures in the NINO3.4 region have dropped (just) below the threshold of El Niño conditions (using the standard NOAA base years … Continue reading

Posted in 2014-15 El Nino Series, El Nino-La Nina Processes, ENSO Update | 44 Comments

The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 12 – July 2014 Update – The Feedbacks Need to Kick in Soon

This post provides an update on the progress of the early evolution of the 2014/15 El Niño with data through the beginning of July 2014. The post is similar in layout to the May and June updates.  The post includes … Continue reading

Posted in 2014-15 El Nino Series, El Nino-La Nina Processes, ENSO Update | 25 Comments