Category Archives: El Nino-La Nina Processes

An Unexpected Admission from Dana Nuccitelli at SkepticalScience

In Dana Nuccitelli’s recent post at SkepticalScience Matt Ridley wants to gamble the Earth’s future because he won’t learn from the past, he has finally admitted something we’ve been discussing for more than 6 years. (His article was also cross … Continue reading

Posted in Alarmism, Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, Climate Model Failings, El Nino-La Nina Processes | 11 Comments

Final – The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 22 – January 2015 Update – You Make the Forecasts for the 2015/16 Season

WRAP-UP This is the final post in The 2014/15 El Niño series.  It began back in April 2014 when many people were expecting a strong El Niño due to the magnitude of the downwelling (warm) Kelvin wave. But the development … Continue reading

Posted in 2014-15 El Nino Series, El Nino-La Nina Processes, ENSO Update | 19 Comments

Early twentieth-century warming linked to tropical Pacific wind strength

From the ENSO-can-contribute-to-global-warming department, we have a new paper from the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) and the University of Arizona (UA). It’s Thompson et al. (2014) Early twentieth-century warming linked to tropical Pacific wind strength.  The abstract reads:

Posted in El Nino-La Nina Processes, Natural Warming | 6 Comments

Did ENSO and the “Monster” Kelvin Wave Contribute to the Record High Global Sea Surface Temperatures in 2014?

Of course they did. [UPDATE:  I’ve added “Sea” to the title to clarify it.] Those who have followed the 2014/15 El Niño series from its start back in April will recall all the hoopla about the strong downwelling Kelvin wave … Continue reading

Posted in 2014-15 El Nino Series, El Nino-La Nina Processes, The Blob | 29 Comments

Enthusiasm about a Double-Dip El Niño (?) And Global Warming

In this post we can learn from someone’s mistakes. The author of the post at Slate clearly misunderstands many aspects of El Niño and their relationship with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation…so many that I’ve had to focus on just a few.  To confuse matters more, mixed … Continue reading

Posted in 2014-15 El Nino Series, El Nino-La Nina Processes | 14 Comments

The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 18 – October 2014 Update – One Last Chance?

This year started off with a subsurface weather event below the surface of the tropical Pacific that made researchers and global warming alarmists hope for a super-duper El Niño in 2014.  Sadly, things didn’t work out for them.  The trade … Continue reading

Posted in 2014-15 El Nino Series, El Nino-La Nina Processes, ENSO Update | 12 Comments

The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 17 – Is There Still Hope for a Moderate El Niño?

I’ll provide the September update in a week or so, but I found the following interesting. According to the animation of subsurface temperature anomalies along the equatorial Pacific, which is available from the NOAA Climate Prediction Center Equatorial Pacific Temperature … Continue reading

Posted in 2014-15 El Nino Series, El Nino-La Nina Processes, ENSO Update | 19 Comments

The 2014 15 El Niño – Part 16 – September 2014 Update – Still Seeing Mixed Signals

(Oops.  Fixed a typo in the title.  This is Part 16.) This post provides an update on the progress of the evolution of the 2014/15 El Niño (assuming there will be one) with data through the end of August 2014. … Continue reading

Posted in 2014-15 El Nino Series, El Nino-La Nina Processes, ENSO Update | 17 Comments

On The Recent Record-High Global Sea Surface Temperatures – The Wheres and Whys

NOAA’s State of the Climate Report for June 2014 included the bullet point under global highlights (my boldface): For the ocean, the June global sea surface temperature was 0.64°C (1.15°F) above the 20th century average of 16.4°C (61.5°F), the highest … Continue reading

Posted in Alarmism, El Nino-La Nina Processes, SST Dataset Info, SST Update, The Blob | 78 Comments

The 2014/15 El Niño – Part 15 – August 2014 Update – An El Niño Mulligan?

Yes, I’m using the term Mulligan as in a replayed golf shot. Ocean-atmosphere processes have consumed most of the warm water in the eastern equatorial Pacific from the downwelling (warm) Kelvin wave that had crossed the Pacific earlier this year. … Continue reading

Posted in 2014-15 El Nino Series, El Nino-La Nina Processes, ENSO Update | 17 Comments