Category Archives: The Pause

Pause Buster SST Data: Has NOAA Adjusted Away a Relationship between NMAT and SST that the Consensus of CMIP5 Climate Models Indicate Should Exist?

In this post, we’re going to discuss one of the three adjustments with the greatest impacts on the new NOAA “pause buster” sea surface temperature dataset.   That is, I’m going to discuss and illustrate that NOAA based one of their … Continue reading

Posted in Marine Air Temperature, NOAA ERSST.v4, SST Dataset Info, The Pause | 39 Comments

Yet Even More Nonsense from Grant Foster (Tamino) et al. on the Bias Adjustments in the New NOAA Pause-Buster Sea Surface Temperature Dataset

UPDATE: It was pointed out in a comment that the model-data comparison in the post was skewed. I was comparing modeled marine air temperature minus modeled sea surface temperature anomalies to observed night marine air temperature minus sea surface temperature … Continue reading

Posted in Tamino, The Halt In Global Warming, The Pause | 5 Comments

Fundamental Differences between the NOAA and UAH Global Temperature Updates

As you are well aware, there is a very basic difference between the updates to the NOAA and UAH global temperature datasets: the NOAA update increased the warming rate of their product during the slowdown in global surface warming, while … Continue reading

Posted in Global Temperature Update, The Halt In Global Warming, The Pause | 48 Comments

New Paper Calls into Question Reanalysis-Based and Climate Model-Based Explanations for the Slowdown in Global Surface Warming

INTRODUCTION The topic of this post is the paper Nieves et al. (2015) Recent hiatus caused by decadal shift in Indo-Pacific heating, which was embargoed until 2PM eastern today. The abstract reads (my boldface):

Posted in Hiatus, The Pause | 6 Comments

Open Letter to Tom Karl of NOAA/NCEI Regarding “Hiatus Busting” Paper

UPDATE: See the note at the end of the post. Date: June 10, 2015 Subject: Karl et al. (2015) Possible artifacts of data biases in the recent global surface warming hiatus and the Sea Surface Data that Support It From: … Continue reading

Posted in Hiatus, NOAA ERSST.v4, SST Dataset Info, The Pause | 82 Comments

More Curiosities about NOAA’s New “Pause Busting” Sea Surface Temperature Dataset

UPDATE 2: KNMI added the HadNMAT2 data to their Climate Explorer, so we no longer have to rely on my replication of data from a graph. See the update before the closing. # # # UPDATE: I was just informed … Continue reading

Posted in CAGW Proponent Arguments, NOAA ERSST.v4, SST Dataset Info, The Pause | 71 Comments

Another Couple of Notes about Michael Mann’s “Faux Pause” Post and Steinman et al. 2015

We discussed Steinman et al. (2015) and Michael Mann’s post about it at RealClimate in the article On Steinman et al. (2015) – Michael Mann and Company Redefine Multidecadal Variability And Wind Up Illustrating Climate Model Failings. This brief post adds … Continue reading

Posted in Hiatus, The Pause | 4 Comments

On The Blog Post “Hiatuses in the rise of temperature” at ClimateLabBook

UPDATE:  It has come to my attention that some persons believe I ridiculed Dr. Geert Jan van Oldenborgh and Dr. Roger Pielke Sr. in this post.  That was not my intent and, on rereading this post, is far from the … Continue reading

Posted in Hiatus, The Pause | 12 Comments

Axel Timmermann and Kevin Trenberth Highlight the Importance of Natural Variability in Global Warming…

…and their recent interviews gave me fodder for a blog post that should be educational for many people. There were numerous oddities in a recent interview with Axel Timmerman and Kevin Trenberth.  Those are the primary topics of this post.  … Continue reading

Posted in Alarmism, PDO, SST Update, The Blob, The Pause | 25 Comments

Will the Next El Niño Bring an End to the Slowdown in Global Surface Warming?

Numerous scientific papers have reported the hiatus in global surface warming will end with the next El Niño event.  But according to a new paper by Chen and Tung published today online in ScienceMag (link to paper follows), that’s not going to … Continue reading

Posted in Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, Ocean Processes, The Halt In Global Warming, The Pause | 22 Comments