Category Archives: Uncategorized

November 2016 Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Anomaly Update

MONTHLY SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANOMALY MAP The following is a Global map of Reynolds OI.v2 Sea Surface Temperature (SST) anomalies for November 2016. It was downloaded from the KNMI Climate Explorer. The contour range was set to -2.5 to +2.5 … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 9 Comments

Early December 2016 La Niña Update: Mixed Signals from NOAA and BOM

Note: See Update at the end of the post. # # # Last month on November 10, NOAA issued a La Niña Advisory, indicating weak La Niña conditions existed and that those conditions were “slightly favored to persist (~55% chance) … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO Update, Uncategorized | 3 Comments

Peer Review Is Bunk

Originally posted on Big Picture News, Informed Analysis:
A report I wrote for the Global Warming Policy Foundation was released today. It explains that peer-reviewed research is as likely to be wrong as right. Basing public policy on findings that…

Posted in Uncategorized | 2 Comments

NOAA Cancels La Niña Watch While La Niña Conditions Exist

La Niña conditions are typically defined by NOAA as sea surface temperature anomalies less than or equal to -0.5 deg C for the NINO3.4 region of the east/central equatorial Pacific. The NINO3.4 sea surface temperature anomaly for the week of … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 15 Comments

July 2016 Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Anomaly Update

INITIAL NOTE This is the fourth month with the new format.  I’ve replaced the smoothed curve with a horizontal line that represents the Current Value. MONTHLY SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANOMALY MAP The following is a Global map of Reynolds OI.v2 … Continue reading

Posted in SST Update, Uncategorized | 6 Comments

On Holiday

I’ve left comments open. I’ll try to moderate them at least once per day. Cheers.  

Posted in Uncategorized | 2 Comments

Nothing Unusual about the Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies for the Hurricane Main Development Region at the 2016 Season’s Start

During the hurricane season, I’ll be adding the sea surface temperatures and anomalies of the Main Development Region of hurricane development in the North Atlantic to the Monthly Sea Surface Temperature Updates.  This post will serve as a reference. OVERVIEW … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 4 Comments

Say Hello to La Niña Conditions

A quick ENSO update. Meteorological agencies like NOAA use the sea surface temperature anomalies of the NINO3.4 region (5S-5N, 170W-120W) of the equatorial Pacific to determine if the tropical Pacific is experiencing El Niño, La Niña or ENSO neutral (not … Continue reading

Posted in 2015-16 El Nino Series, ENSO Update, Uncategorized | 10 Comments

Global Surface Temperature Anomalies Should Be Higher In 2016 Than 2015

This post confirms what most of us suspect based on the history of global surface temperature data responses to strong El Niño events. That is, if global surface temperatures respond similarly to past strong El Niños, the 2016 values should … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 11 Comments

Close But No Cigar – NINO3.4 SST Anomalies Are a Tick (0.1 deg C) above La Niña Threshold

This is a quick ENSO update. NOAA’s weekly sea surface temperature anomaly data for the NINO regions (based on the original Reynolds OI.v2 data) are furnished on Mondays. Today’s update for the week centered on June 22, 2016 shows the … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 10 Comments