Tamino (Grant Foster) is Back at His Old Tricks…That Everyone (But His Followers) Can See Through

Or In a Discussion of the Hiatus Since 1998, Grant Foster Presents Trends from 1970 to 2010, Go Figure!

Statistician Grant Foster (a.k.a. blogger Tamino, who also likes to call himself Hansen’s Bulldog) is back to his one of his old debate tactics again: redirection. Or maybe a squirrel passed by and, like Dug the talking dog from Pixar’s Up, Hansen’s Bulldog simply lost track of the topic at hand.

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Posted in Uncategorized | 4 Comments

Fundamental Differences between the NOAA and UAH Global Temperature Updates

As you are well aware, there is a very basic difference between the updates to the NOAA and UAH global temperature datasets: the NOAA update increased the warming rate of their product during the slowdown in global surface warming, while the UAH update decreased the warming rate of their lower troposphere dataset in that timeframe. We’ll discuss another basic difference between those updates in this post. Continue reading

Posted in Global Temperature Update, The Halt In Global Warming, The Pause | 15 Comments

The Three Faces of the GISS Land-Ocean Temperature Index (LOTI)

This is the first of a series of posts about the impacts of NOAA’s new pause-buster sea surface temperature data on the global temperature products from GISS and NCEI (formerly NCDC). In this post, we’re going to compare the three recent versions of the GISS Land-Ocean Temperature Index from 1979 to 2014, from 1998 to 2014 and from 2001 to 2014. Continue reading

Posted in GISS, Global Temperature Update | 7 Comments

Both NOAA and GISS Have Switched to NOAA’s Unjustifiably Overcooked “Pause-Busting” Sea Surface Temperature Data for Their Global Temperature Products

This is the June 2015 Global Surface (Land+Ocean) and Lower Troposphere Temperature Anomaly & Model-Data Difference Update, but in it we’re presenting the new GISS and NCEI surface temperature products…and the UAH lower troposphere temperature data version 6. Continue reading

Posted in Global Temperature Update, TLT and LOST Updates, TLT Update | 12 Comments

July 2015 ENSO Update – Tropical Pacific at the Threshold of a Strong El Niño

This post provides an update of many of the ENSO-related variables we presented as part of last year’s 2014-15 El Niño Series.  The reference years for comparison graphs in this post are 1997 and 2014, which are the development years of the strongest recent El Niño and the last El Niño.  I have not included animations in this post. In their place, I’ve compared present-day maps from the NOAA GODAS website to the same time in 2014. Continue reading

Posted in ENSO Update | 23 Comments

A Return to the Question “Was 2014 the warmest year?”

UPDATE:  The author of the post has now been listed at the end of the Initial Notes.

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This is a repost of a blog post written by a well-known and well-respected climate scientist.  To date, it is one of the best answers I have come across to the often-asked question, “Was 2014 the warmest year?”  What sets it apart from most articles is its down-to-Earth discussion of probabilities. Continue reading

Posted in Global Temperature Update | 6 Comments

New Paper Calls into Question Reanalysis-Based and Climate Model-Based Explanations for the Slowdown in Global Surface Warming

INTRODUCTION

The topic of this post is the paper Nieves et al. (2015) Recent hiatus caused by decadal shift in Indo-Pacific heating, which was embargoed until 2PM eastern today. The abstract reads (my boldface): Continue reading

Posted in Hiatus, The Pause | 6 Comments

June 2015 Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Anomaly Update

MONTHLY SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANOMALY MAP

The following is a Global map of Reynolds OI.v2 Sea Surface Temperature (SST) anomalies for June 2015.  It was downloaded from the KNMI Climate Explorer. The contour range was set to -2.5 to +2.5 deg C.

00 Map

June 2015 Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Anomalies Map

(Global SST Anomaly = +0.292 deg C)

MONTHLY GLOBAL OVERVIEW

Global Sea Surface Temperature anomalies showed basically no change, an increase of about +0.001 deg C, from May to June. The warming in the Northern Hemisphere was counteracted by cooling in the Southern Hemisphere. The North Pacific (and Pacific as a whole), Arctic and Southern Oceans showed warming. The greatest warming took place in the North Pacific (an increase of about +0.10 deg C since May), and the greatest cooling took place in the South Atlantic (a drop of about -0.09 deg C since last month). Continue reading

Posted in SST Update | 6 Comments

Quicky Early July 2015 ENSO Update: NINO3 (not NINO3.4) Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies Reached 2.0 Deg C Last Week

OVERVIEW

NOAA’s weekly sea surface temperature anomalies for the NINO regions (based on Reynolds OI.v2 data) are furnished on Mondays. Today’s update for the week centered on July 1, 2015 shows the surface temperature anomalies have reached 2.0 deg C in the NINO3 region of the eastern equatorial Pacific (5S-5N, 150W-90W).  NINO3 sea surface temperature anomalies are used in the JMA’s El Niño outlooks. Continue reading

Posted in ENSO Update | 3 Comments

That Didn’t Take Long: North & South Carolina Shark Attacks Blamed on Global Warming

There has been a series of shark attacks off the Carolina coasts.  As of last count, the number is 11 shark bites since mid-May.

As one might have expected, from mainstream media’s let’s-see-what-we-can-blame-on-global-warming department comes the CBSNews article “Strange” spike in shark attacks puzzles experts.  The news report includes (my boldface): Continue reading

Posted in Alarmism | 5 Comments