This is just a quick update for those keeping a close eye on the equatorial Pacific.
The weekly sea surface temperature anomalies of the three central and eastern region ENSO indices (NINO3.4, NINO4, NINO1+2) are all dropping, returning to “normal” conditions. The NINO4 sea surface temperature anomalies have been hovering near a +0.5 deg C anomaly for the past few weeks.
Unfortunately, the global data are still climbing–rising close to (but not yet reaching) record high levels. They don’t like these off-season El Niño events. The North Pacific is still warming, and the North Atlantic has just responded to the earlier El Niño conditions in the tropical Pacific, making a big leap in the last week.
SOURCE
The weekly Reynolds OI.v2 sea surface temperature data are available through the NOAA NOMADS website.
Thanks, Bob.
It is good to be able to observe from your perch, and learn about nature.
Bob,
I find this hard to swallow: http://www.designntrend.com/articles/17594/20140804/warming-waters-in-the-atlantic-ocean-evoke-supercharged-winds-in-the-pacific-equatorial.htm
mpcraig, Andrew Revkin at NYTimes had a post about that study and few of the climate scientists Revkin interviewed agreed with it:
http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2014/08/03/new-study-sees-atlantic-warming-behind-a-host-of-recent-climate-shifts/?_php=true&_type=blogs&smid=tw-dotearth&seid=auto&_r=0
Cheers.
Hello Bob
Do you remember my El Nino predictor couple of months ago? It seems that it is working pretty well. There was no remarkable temperature trop on NH while EL Nino was on developing phase, so we didint see majoe El Nino Event…
Elnino_alarmdatset
Here is the working link:
ElNino_alarmdataset
It seems that reply field doesn’t accept colon in the link text…
You know, if you can get Bill Nye over here he can set us straight as to how El Nino’s develop.
Reblogged this on Standard Climate.