Mid-February 2014 Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Anomaly Update

The sea surface temperature anomalies of the NINO3.4 region in the equatorial Pacific (5S-5N, 170W-120W) are a commonly used metric for the frequency, strength and duration of El Niño and La Niña events.  For the week centered on Wednesday February 19, 2014, they were at about -0.4 deg C.  That is, they’re back in ENSO-neutral conditions (cooler than +0.5 deg C but warmer than -0.5 deg C), which means they’re not in El Niño or La Niña conditions.


Weekly NINO3.4

Additionally, while the central equatorial Pacific (NINO3.4 region) have warmed a little, the NINO1+2 region in the far eastern tropical Pacific have recently cooled again, drastically.  Sea surface temperature anomalies there are now close to -1.0 deg C.

NINO1+2 Weekly NINO1+2

Global sea surface temperature anomalies are at about +0.24 deg C for the week centered on February 19th, compared to the base years of 1971-2000.

Global Weekly Global


Why should you be interested?  Sea surface temperature records indicate El Niño and La Niña events are responsible for the warming of global sea surface temperature anomalies over the past 30 years, not manmade greenhouse gases.  I’ve searched sea surface temperature records for more than 5 years now, and I’ve searched ocean heat content records for more than 4 years, and I can find no evidence of an anthropogenic greenhouse gas signal.  That is, the data indicates the warming of the global oceans has been caused by Mother Nature, not anthropogenic greenhouse gases.

For further preliminary information, see the essay (pdf) titled The Manmade Global Warming Challenge. (It’s 42MB, but it’s free and worth the download time.)

Last year, I published my e-book (pdf) about the phenomena called El Niño and La Niña.  It’s titled Who Turned on the Heat? with the subtitle The Unsuspected Global Warming Culprit, El Niño Southern Oscillation.  It is intended for persons (with or without technical backgrounds) interested in learning about El Niño and La Niña events and in understanding the natural causes of the warming of our global oceans for the past 30 years.  Because land surface air temperatures simply exaggerate the natural warming of the global oceans over annual and multidecadal time periods, the vast majority of the warming taking place on land is natural as well.  The book is the product of years of research of the satellite-era sea surface temperature data that’s available to the public via the internet.  It presents how the data accounts for its warming—and there are no indications the warming was caused by manmade greenhouse gases.  None at all.

Who Turned on the Heat? was introduced in the blog post Everything You Ever Wanted to Know about El Niño and La Niña… …Well Just about Everything. The Updated Free Preview includes the Table of Contents; the Introduction; the beginning of Section 1, with the cartoon-like illustrations; the discussion About the Cover; and the Closing.  The book was updated recently to correct a few typos.

Please buy a copy. (Credit/Debit Card through PayPal.  You do NOT need to open a PayPal account.) Simply scroll down to the “Don’t Have a PayPal Account” purchase option.  It’s only US$8.00 US$5.00.


The Sea Surface Temperature anomaly data used in this post is available through the NOAA NOMADS website:




About Bob Tisdale

Research interest: the long-term aftereffects of El Niño and La Nina events on global sea surface temperature and ocean heat content. Author of the ebook Who Turned on the Heat? and regular contributor at WattsUpWithThat.
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4 Responses to Mid-February 2014 Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Anomaly Update

  1. omanuel says:

    Bob, my research mentor was a faculty member at the Imperial University of Tokyo during WWII.

    By following his directions I learned that the spirit of Stalin survived the end of WWII, has an insatiable appetite for tax funds, and will not be easily defeated now. Punishing the likes of Michael Mann etc. is useless.

    In 1946 George Orwell started writing his warning to us.


    In 1946 Fred Hoyle said the internal composition of the Sun was changed from iron (Fe) to hydrogen (H) and was unanimously adopted without debate or discussion. See pp. 153-154.


    Precise experimental data on pages 19-27 of my autobiography identify many of the falsehoods that led us into slavery after WWII ended.

    Click to access Chapter_1.pdf

    Click to access Chapter_2.pdf

  2. Thanks, Bob. We keep on watching ENSO.

  3. Big Jim says:

    Bob, I am a coast watcher of your web posts and looking out for a crashing big El Niño to make CAGW enthusiasts happy. How about now and then showing the track all the way back to 1975, mainly so we can see the BIG one in 1998? Just for grins.

  4. Bob Tisdale says:

    Big Jim, I post the monthly NINO3.4 sea surface temperature anomalies twice per month. Here’s the latest monthly NINO3.4 data:

    From the post here:


    PS: The Reynolds OI.v2 data only go back to November 1981; their satellite-enhanced.

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